Fire Jim Tracy

Friday, January 07, 2005

New Math

Replacing Hideo Nomo with Derek Lowe? Now THAT'S DODGER MATH!

Things are starting to come together. Basically, I like what I see. I can quibble with Lowe v. Clement v. whoever, but the simple fact is that Lowe is going to accept our offer (apparently) and Clement didn't. Same with Beltre and Drew. And it is increasingly clear that McCourt is indeed a $100 million man. And it's not his fault Dreifort gets 13% of the payroll for nothing.

Think about it this way. Was there more cause for optimism last year at the same time, before we won 93 games?

The answer is...no.

UPDATE: I believe I've been misunderstood. The Lowe signing is a bad signing, just as signing all those other hack pitchers were basically bad signings (Russ Ortiz to the D-Backs comes to mind). My point was that the Plaschkes of the world should be throwing confetti. But they won't -- they'll now piss and moan about how much money the Dodgers are "wasting."

2005 is shaping up to be a very good year -- the problem now becomes 2006, 2007, etc., and I fear we are doing that which other teams too regularly do, which is mortgage several future years for the all-too-fleeting opportunity to maybe, possibly win a playoff series now.

UPDATE 2: I dream at night of waking up in the morning and reading something of this quality in the Los Angeles Times, from people who get paid in the six figures to do it.

PREDICTION: Plaschke's next Dodger column accuses McCourt and DePodesta of "panicking" and takes them to task for wasting money.

3 Comments:

  • Referring to your $70 million for Gagne - putting aside the fact that such a deal will never happen under McCourt, that figure seems awful high. Over how many years do you figure that?

    By Blogger Jon, at 1/08/2005 03:42:00 PM  

  • Jon,

    You are right on both counts, though Mariano Rivera is getting no younger, which might introduce Yankee inflation into the equation. Otherwise, I just picked a number, which is basically irrelevant. The general point is that those who are in favor of 1) signing "our" free agents and 2) indiscriminantly spending money need to recognize what the end game for their strategies actually is.

    If I were Boras, I would probably start at 5 and 55, and start comparing Gagne to Dreifort.

    By Blogger Steve, at 1/08/2005 04:00:00 PM  

  • Re your comment about hoping Plaschke will somehow find his sorry ass on the sidewalk outside the 1st St. offices and Meagher replacing him: the water into wine trick was a nice one, yes?

    By Blogger Rob, at 1/09/2005 07:18:00 PM  

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